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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-10 12:00

Vallecano – Ath Bilbao

Home 36% 2.77 fair
Draw 30% 3.37 fair
Away 34% 2.92 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Vallecano – Ath Bilbao
ABD Match Abandoned Vallecano – Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals2.13
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score43%
Over 2.536%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 36.1% → 36.1% 0.0 pp
Draw 29.7% → 29.7% 0.0 pp
Away 34.2% → 34.2% 0.0 pp
Over 2.5 35.8% → 35.8% 0.0 pp
Both teams to score 43.1% → 43.1% 0.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.13 → 2.13 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.13
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.18 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.04 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

36.1% 2.77 —
29.7% 3.37 —
34.2% 2.92 —
65.8% 1.52 —
63.9% 1.57 —
70.3% 1.42 —

Half-time result

26.7% 3.75 —
49.1% 2.04 —
24.2% 4.13 —

Half-time double chance

75.8% 1.32 —
73.4% 1.36 —
50.9% 1.96 —

Both halves

7.8% 12.74 —

HT/FT

20.1% 4.97 —
4.7% 21.14 —
14.4% 6.95 —
20.2% 4.96 —
14.6% 6.86 —
4.8% 20.92 —
17.8% 5.61 —

HT/FT double chance

59.4% 1.68 —
50.9% 1.97 —
41.2% 2.42 —
31.3% 3.2 —
41.4% 2.42 —
29.1% 3.43 —
40.9% 2.44 —
48.4% 2.07 —
57.4% 1.74 —

Total goals

88.2% 1.13 —
63.0% 1.59 —
35.8% 2.8 —
16.4% 6.1 —
37.0% 2.7 —
64.2% 1.56 —
83.6% 1.2 —

1st-half goals

59.3% 1.69 —
22.4% 4.47 —

Home team goals

66.5% 1.5 —
29.3% 3.41 —

Away team goals

64.8% 1.54 —
28.0% 3.57 —

Both to score

43.1% 2.32 —

Corners

74.7% 1.34 —
64.6% 1.55 —
53.8% 1.86 —
43.5% 2.3 —
33.7% 2.97 —
35.4% 2.82 —
46.2% 2.17 —
56.5% 1.77 —
66.3% 1.51 —

Home corners

69.2% 1.44 —
53.7% 1.86 —
38.7% 2.59 —

Away corners

70.2% 1.42 —
55.2% 1.81 —
40.8% 2.45 —

Cards

81.3% 1.23 —
67.7% 1.48 —
52.8% 1.89 —
38.8% 2.58 —
32.3% 3.1 —
47.2% 2.12 —
61.2% 1.63 —

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