Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-10-11 14:45
Excelsior – Groningen
Home
41%
2.42 fair
Draw
25%
4.03 fair
Away
34%
2.95 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Excelsior – Groningen
FINAL
Actual Result
1–5
Excelsior – Groningen
Expected Goals2.84
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.554%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
41.2%
→
41.2%
0.0 pp
Draw
24.8%
→
24.8%
0.0 pp
Away
34.0%
→
33.9%
-0.0 pp
Over 2.5
53.6%
→
53.6%
0.0 pp
Both teams to score
57.2%
→
57.2%
0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.84 →
2.84
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 41.2% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — |
Both halves
| 10.8% | 9.24 | — |
HT/FT
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.76 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.86 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.02 | — | |||
| 11.7% | 8.58 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.24 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.02 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — |
Total goals
| 94.3% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.4 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — |
1st-half goals
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — |
Away team goals
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — |
Both to score
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — |
Corners
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — |
Home corners
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — |
Away corners
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — |
Cards
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 22.0% | 4.55 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.16 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 87.7% | 1.14 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds