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Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-10-11 12:30

Telstar – Den Haag

Home 60% 1.66 fair
Draw 21% 4.76 fair
Away 19% 5.35 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 2-1 Telstar – Den Haag
FINAL Actual Result 2–2 Telstar – Den Haag
Expected Goals3.11
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.560%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 60.3% → 60.3% 0.0 pp
Draw 21.0% → 21.0% 0.0 pp
Away 18.7% → 18.7% 0.0 pp
Over 2.5 60.0% → 60.0% 0.0 pp
Both teams to score 56.9% → 56.9% 0.0 pp
Expected Goals 3.11 → 3.11 0.0
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.11
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.29 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.34 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

60.3% 1.66 —
21.0% 4.76 —
18.7% 5.35 —
81.3% 1.23 —
39.7% 2.52 —
79.0% 1.27 —

Half-time result

46.1% 2.17 —
48.3% 2.07 —
5.6% 17.83 —

Half-time double chance

94.4% 1.06 —
53.9% 1.86 —
51.7% 1.93 —

Both halves

21.6% 4.64 —

HT/FT

36.8% 2.72 —
6.4% 15.6 —
22.4% 4.47 —
13.3% 7.53 —
12.6% 7.94 —
3.1% 31.85 —

HT/FT double chance

78.8% 1.27 —
74.7% 1.34 —
35.2% 2.84 —
45.6% 2.19 —
44.0% 2.27 —
13.9% 7.22 —
38.1% 2.62 —
39.3% 2.55 —
30.3% 3.3 —

Total goals

95.5% 1.05 —
81.6% 1.23 —
60.0% 1.67 —
37.7% 2.66 —
18.4% 5.43 —
40.0% 2.5 —
62.3% 1.6 —

1st-half goals

55.6% 1.8 —
20.1% 4.97 —

Home team goals

87.2% 1.15 —
60.6% 1.65 —

Away team goals

65.2% 1.53 —
28.1% 3.56 —

Both to score

56.9% 1.76 —

Corners

75.5% 1.32 —
65.4% 1.53 —
54.9% 1.82 —
44.2% 2.26 —
34.5% 2.9 —
34.6% 2.89 —
45.1% 2.22 —
55.8% 1.79 —
65.5% 1.53 —

Home corners

73.1% 1.37 —
58.1% 1.72 —
43.9% 2.28 —

Away corners

67.6% 1.48 —
51.3% 1.95 —
36.8% 2.72 —

Cards

60.8% 1.64 —
41.5% 2.41 —
26.3% 3.81 —
15.3% 6.52 —
58.5% 1.71 —
73.7% 1.36 —
84.7% 1.18 —

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