Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-10-11 10:15
Utrecht – Willem II
Home
73%
1.38 fair
Draw
17%
6.02 fair
Away
11%
9.21 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-0
Utrecht – Willem II
FINAL
Actual Result
3–1
Utrecht – Willem II
Expected Goals3.26
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.563%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
72.5%
→
72.5%
0.0 pp
Draw
16.6%
→
16.6%
+0.0 pp
Away
10.9%
→
10.9%
0.0 pp
Over 2.5
62.9%
→
62.9%
+0.0 pp
Both teams to score
51.6%
→
51.7%
+0.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.26 →
3.26
0.0
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.02 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.21 | — | |||
| 89.1% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 83.4% | 1.2 | — |
Half-time result
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.38 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 88.1% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — |
Both halves
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — |
HT/FT
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.21 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — | |||
| 10.2% | 9.82 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.8 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.25 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.05 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.58 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.18 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — |
Total goals
| 96.1% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 5.99 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — |
Home team goals
| 91.2% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — |
Away team goals
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.93 | — |
Both to score
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — |
Corners
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — |
Home corners
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — |
Away corners
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.82 | — |
Cards
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.96 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 87.4% | 1.14 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds