Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-10-10 19:00
Ajax – Nijmegen
Home
57%
1.75 fair
Draw
20%
4.9 fair
Away
22%
4.45 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Ajax – Nijmegen
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
Ajax – Nijmegen
Expected Goals3.56
Both teams to score66%
Over 2.569%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.9 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.45 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — |
Half-time result
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.13 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 87.7% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — |
Both halves
| 20.2% | 4.94 | — |
HT/FT
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 7.9% | 12.67 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.32 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.39 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.94 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.94 | — | |||
| 8.5% | 11.81 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.07 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.22 | — |
Total goals
| 97.0% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 86.8% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.55 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — |
1st-half goals
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — |
Home team goals
| 88.9% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — |
Away team goals
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — |
Both to score
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — |
Corners
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — |
Home corners
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — |
Away corners
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.42 | — |
Cards
| 70.2% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.33 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds