Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-10-09 18:00
PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen
Home
80%
1.25 fair
Draw
11%
8.82 fair
Away
9%
11.53 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
3-1
PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen
Expected Goals4.46
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.582%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
80.0%
→
80.0%
+0.0 pp
Draw
11.4%
→
11.3%
-0.1 pp
Away
8.7%
→
8.7%
0.0 pp
Over 2.5
82.0%
→
82.0%
+0.0 pp
Both teams to score
64.6%
→
64.6%
-0.0 pp
Expected Goals
4.46 →
4.46
0.0
Most Likely Score
3-1
→
3-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.82 | — | |||
| 8.7% | 11.53 | — | |||
| 91.3% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.0 | — | |||
| 88.6% | 1.13 | — |
Half-time result
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.66 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 86.9% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Both halves
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — |
HT/FT
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.03 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.7 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.03 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.65 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.62 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 11.5% | 8.7 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.49 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.97 | — |
Total goals
| 93.3% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 6.7% | 15.04 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.55 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — |
1st-half goals
| 88.7% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — |
Home team goals
| 96.3% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.7% | 1.18 | — |
Away team goals
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.28 | — |
Both to score
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — |
Corners
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — |
Home corners
| 88.0% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — |
Away corners
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.76 | — |
Cards
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.83 | — | |||
| 11.2% | 8.95 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 88.8% | 1.13 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds