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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-12

Coventry – Newcastle

Home 8% 12.89 fair
Draw 20% 5.0 fair
Away 72% 1.38 fair
Expected Goals2.29
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score29%
Over 2.540%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.17 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.95 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

7.8% 12.89 —
20.0% 5.0 —
72.2% 1.38 —
27.8% 3.6 —
92.2% 1.08 —
80.0% 1.25 —

Half-time result

3.4% 29.76 —
47.5% 2.11 —
49.2% 2.03 —

Half-time double chance

50.8% 1.97 —
96.6% 1.03 —
52.5% 1.9 —

HT/FT

5.5% 18.21 —
15.6% 6.42 —
26.4% 3.79 —
3.4% 29.59 —
45.1% 2.22 —

HT/FT double chance

23.7% 4.23 —
34.2% 2.92 —
43.8% 2.28 —
6.7% 14.93 —
48.1% 2.08 —
50.3% 1.99 —
25.2% 3.97 —
77.7% 1.29 —
90.4% 1.11 —

Total goals

89.6% 1.12 —
66.4% 1.51 —
40.1% 2.5 —
19.8% 5.05 —
33.6% 2.97 —
59.9% 1.67 —
80.2% 1.25 —

1st-half goals

55.0% 1.82 —
18.9% 5.31 —

Home team goals

34.9% 2.87 —
6.9% 14.41 —

Away team goals

84.3% 1.19 —
55.4% 1.81 —

Both to score

29.5% 3.39 —

Corners

74.1% 1.35 —
64.2% 1.56 —
53.9% 1.85 —
43.8% 2.29 —
34.0% 2.94 —
35.8% 2.79 —
46.1% 2.17 —
56.2% 1.78 —
66.0% 1.52 —

Home corners

70.6% 1.42 —
55.4% 1.81 —
40.8% 2.45 —

Away corners

68.9% 1.45 —
53.6% 1.87 —
38.5% 2.6 —

Cards

71.1% 1.41 —
53.0% 1.89 —
36.3% 2.75 —
22.8% 4.39 —
47.0% 2.13 —
63.7% 1.57 —
77.2% 1.29 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds