Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-12 19:00
Coventry – Newcastle
Home
8%
12.82 fair
Draw
20%
5.06 fair
Away
72%
1.38 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Coventry – Newcastle
FINAL
Actual Result
4–1
Coventry – Newcastle
Expected Goals2.29
Both teams to score29%
Over 2.540%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
7.8%
→
7.8%
+0.0 pp
Draw
20.0%
→
19.8%
-0.2 pp
Away
72.2%
→
72.4%
+0.2 pp
Over 2.5
40.1%
→
40.0%
-0.0 pp
Both teams to score
29.5%
→
29.4%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.29 →
2.29
0.0
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 7.8% | 12.82 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.06 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 92.2% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — |
Half-time result
| 3.3% | 30.21 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 96.7% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — |
HT/FT
| 5.6% | 17.83 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.54 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.33 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 6.7% | 14.97 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.98 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 90.4% | 1.11 | — |
Total goals
| 89.9% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.04 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — |
1st-half goals
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.31 | — |
Home team goals
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.33 | — |
Away team goals
| 84.4% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — |
Both to score
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — |
Corners
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — |
Home corners
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — |
Away corners
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — |
Cards
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 77.2% | 1.29 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds