Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-11

Liverpool Man City

Home 32% 3.1 fair
Draw 24% 4.21 fair
Away 44% 2.28 fair
Expected Goals3.05
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.559%

No market odds available — goals from model only

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals expected 3.05
0
1
2
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7+
Total corners expected 10.14 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
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13
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18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 3.74 awaiting league sample
0
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10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

32.3% 3.1
23.8% 4.21
43.9% 2.28
56.1% 1.78
67.7% 1.48
76.2% 1.31

Half-time result

24.2% 4.13
40.5% 2.47
35.2% 2.84

Half-time double chance

64.8% 1.54
75.8% 1.32
59.5% 1.68

Both halves

7.5% 13.4

HT/FT

16.9% 5.93
4.8% 20.88
12.7% 7.88
13.0% 7.72
14.9% 6.72
6.0% 16.61
26.5% 3.78

HT/FT double chance

47.3% 2.11
47.0% 2.13
35.2% 2.84
30.4% 3.29
48.7% 2.06
39.9% 2.51
34.4% 2.91
56.8% 1.76
60.3% 1.66

Total goals

95.6% 1.05
80.8% 1.24
58.7% 1.7
36.5% 2.74
19.2% 5.21
41.3% 2.42
63.5% 1.57

1st-half goals

72.1% 1.39
36.7% 2.73

Home team goals

75.4% 1.33
40.5% 2.47

Away team goals

81.2% 1.23
49.1% 2.04

Both to score

60.9% 1.64

Corners

74.1% 1.35
63.9% 1.57
53.3% 1.87
43.1% 2.32
33.4% 2.99
36.1% 2.77
46.7% 2.14
56.9% 1.76
66.6% 1.5

Home corners

69.7% 1.43
54.3% 1.84
39.5% 2.53

Away corners

68.7% 1.46
53.5% 1.87
39.3% 2.54

Cards

67.7% 1.48
49.2% 2.03
32.8% 3.05
20.2% 4.96
50.8% 1.97
67.2% 1.49
79.8% 1.25

model · fair · market (no margin) · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds