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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-11 13:00

Hull – Everton

Home 47% 2.12 fair
Draw 32% 3.15 fair
Away 21% 4.76 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-0 Hull – Everton
FINAL Actual Result 2–2 Hull – Everton
Expected Goals1.78
Both teams to score32%
Over 2.526%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 47.1% → 47.2% +0.1 pp
Draw 31.8% → 31.8% -0.1 pp
Away 21.0% → 21.0% 0.0 pp
Over 2.5 26.2% → 26.2% -0.1 pp
Both teams to score 32.0% → 32.0% -0.0 pp
Expected Goals 1.78 → 1.78 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.78
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.75 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.77 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

47.2% 2.12 —
31.8% 3.15 —
21.0% 4.76 —
79.0% 1.27 —
52.8% 1.89 —
68.2% 1.47 —

Half-time result

39.6% 2.53 —
40.2% 2.48 —
20.2% 4.96 —

Half-time double chance

79.8% 1.25 —
60.4% 1.65 —
59.8% 1.67 —

Both halves

10.7% 9.38 —

HT/FT

36.2% 2.76 —
3.0% 33.11 —
10.3% 9.73 —
24.9% 4.01 —
5.0% 19.92 —
3.8% 26.25 —
15.7% 6.37 —

HT/FT double chance

74.5% 1.34 —
51.8% 1.93 —
33.3% 3.0 —
43.7% 2.29 —
52.9% 1.89 —
22.8% 4.38 —
39.7% 2.52 —
31.7% 3.16 —
49.5% 2.02 —

Total goals

83.2% 1.2 —
53.3% 1.88 —
26.2% 3.82 —
10.5% 9.5 —
46.7% 2.14 —
73.9% 1.35 —
89.5% 1.12 —

1st-half goals

70.8% 1.41 —
34.8% 2.87 —

Home team goals

67.8% 1.47 —
31.2% 3.2 —

Away team goals

47.4% 2.11 —
13.9% 7.21 —

Both to score

32.0% 3.12 —

Corners

71.0% 1.41 —
60.2% 1.66 —
49.2% 2.03 —
39.2% 2.55 —
29.9% 3.34 —
39.8% 2.51 —
50.7% 1.97 —
60.9% 1.64 —
70.1% 1.43 —

Home corners

73.2% 1.37 —
58.3% 1.71 —
43.5% 2.3 —

Away corners

59.8% 1.67 —
43.2% 2.31 —
29.0% 3.44 —

Cards

68.1% 1.47 —
49.6% 2.02 —
33.3% 3.0 —
20.6% 4.85 —
50.4% 1.98 —
66.7% 1.5 —
79.4% 1.26 —

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