Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-10 14:00
Sunderland – Brighton
Home
30%
3.32 fair
Draw
25%
3.94 fair
Away
44%
2.25 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Sunderland – Brighton
FINAL
Actual Result
0–2
Sunderland – Brighton
Expected Goals2.62
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.549%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
30.1%
→
30.1%
-0.0 pp
Draw
25.4%
→
25.4%
0.0 pp
Away
44.5%
→
44.5%
+0.0 pp
Over 2.5
48.8%
→
48.8%
+0.0 pp
Both teams to score
52.6%
→
52.6%
-0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.62 →
2.62
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — |
Both halves
| 6.7% | 14.9 | — |
HT/FT
| 17.6% | 5.68 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.27 | — | |||
| 10.8% | 9.22 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.36 | — | |||
| 16.5% | 6.07 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.17 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.96 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 49.4% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.61 | — |
Total goals
| 92.6% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — |
1st-half goals
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — |
Home team goals
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.6% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — |
Both to score
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — |
Corners
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.3 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — |
Home corners
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — |
Away corners
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — |
Cards
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds