Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-10 14:00
Chelsea – Bournemouth
Home
46%
2.17 fair
Draw
24%
4.22 fair
Away
30%
3.3 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Chelsea – Bournemouth
FINAL
Actual Result
5–1
Chelsea – Bournemouth
Expected Goals3.06
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.559%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
46.0%
→
46.0%
0.0 pp
Draw
23.7%
→
23.7%
0.0 pp
Away
30.3%
→
30.3%
-0.0 pp
Over 2.5
58.9%
→
58.9%
-0.0 pp
Both teams to score
60.7%
→
60.7%
-0.0 pp
Expected Goals
3.06 →
3.06
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — |
Both halves
| 14.0% | 7.14 | — |
HT/FT
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.76 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.23 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.51 | — | |||
| 11.2% | 8.94 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.96 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.11 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — |
Total goals
| 95.3% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 19.3% | 5.19 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — |
1st-half goals
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — |
Home team goals
| 81.9% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — |
Both to score
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — |
Corners
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — |
Home corners
| 83.4% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — |
Away corners
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — |
Cards
| 84.6% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds