Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-10 14:00
Aston Villa – Brentford
Home
41%
2.41 fair
Draw
25%
4.03 fair
Away
34%
2.96 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Aston Villa – Brentford
FINAL
Actual Result
2–2
Aston Villa – Brentford
Expected Goals2.94
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
41.4%
→
41.4%
+0.0 pp
Draw
24.9%
→
24.8%
-0.0 pp
Away
33.7%
→
33.8%
+0.0 pp
Over 2.5
56.4%
→
56.4%
-0.0 pp
Both teams to score
58.9%
→
58.9%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.94 →
2.94
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 30.8% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — |
Both halves
| 11.2% | 8.94 | — |
HT/FT
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.42 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.55 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.02 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.79 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.45 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.37 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — |
Total goals
| 94.5% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.8 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — |
Home team goals
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — |
Both to score
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — |
Corners
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — |
Home corners
| 81.0% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — |
Away corners
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — |
Cards
| 73.8% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds