Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-10 11:30
Arsenal – Leeds
Home
65%
1.53 fair
Draw
21%
4.7 fair
Away
13%
7.52 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Arsenal – Leeds
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Arsenal – Leeds
Expected Goals2.58
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
65.4%
→
65.4%
0.0 pp
Draw
21.3%
→
21.3%
0.0 pp
Away
13.3%
→
13.3%
0.0 pp
Over 2.5
47.6%
→
47.6%
0.0 pp
Both teams to score
42.3%
→
42.3%
0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.58 →
2.58
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.7 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.52 | — | |||
| 86.7% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.2 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.9% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — |
Both halves
| 21.6% | 4.63 | — |
HT/FT
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.17 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.21 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.33 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.1 | — | |||
| 7.3% | 13.74 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 77.8% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 15.1% | 6.61 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.18 | — |
Total goals
| 92.5% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — |
1st-half goals
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.37 | — |
Home team goals
| 84.6% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — |
Away team goals
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 15.6% | 6.4 | — |
Both to score
| 42.3% | 2.37 | — |
Corners
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.75 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
Home corners
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — |
Away corners
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.92 | — |
Cards
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.31 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds