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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-10-10 11:30

St Pauli – Karlsruhe

Home 58% 1.72 fair
Draw 21% 4.65 fair
Away 20% 4.89 fair
Expected Goals3.04
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.558%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 58.1% → 58.1% +0.0 pp
Draw 21.5% → 21.5% +0.0 pp
Away 20.5% → 20.4% -0.0 pp
Over 2.5 58.4% → 58.4% +0.0 pp
Both teams to score 56.0% → 56.0% +0.0 pp
Expected Goals 3.04 → 3.04 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.04
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.72 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.52 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

58.1% 1.72 —
21.5% 4.65 —
20.4% 4.89 —
79.6% 1.26 —
41.9% 2.38 —
78.5% 1.27 —

Half-time result

46.3% 2.16 —
39.1% 2.56 —
14.7% 6.82 —

Half-time double chance

85.3% 1.17 —
53.7% 1.86 —
61.0% 1.64 —

Both halves

20.5% 4.89 —

HT/FT

38.4% 2.61 —
5.7% 17.67 —
17.4% 5.76 —
12.5% 7.99 —
9.2% 10.91 —
3.3% 30.21 —
9.0% 11.1 —

HT/FT double chance

73.9% 1.35 —
67.2% 1.49 —
29.6% 3.38 —
49.7% 2.01 —
52.0% 1.92 —
20.2% 4.94 —
35.5% 2.82 —
37.9% 2.64 —
34.0% 2.94 —

Total goals

95.0% 1.05 —
80.6% 1.24 —
58.4% 1.71 —
36.1% 2.77 —
19.4% 5.16 —
41.6% 2.41 —
63.9% 1.56 —

1st-half goals

71.0% 1.41 —
35.8% 2.79 —

Home team goals

85.6% 1.17 —
58.6% 1.71 —

Away team goals

65.4% 1.53 —
29.1% 3.43 —

Both to score

56.0% 1.79 —

Corners

70.7% 1.41 —
60.3% 1.66 —
49.0% 2.04 —
38.8% 2.58 —
29.4% 3.4 —
39.7% 2.52 —
51.0% 1.96 —
61.2% 1.63 —
70.6% 1.42 —

Home corners

72.3% 1.38 —
57.5% 1.74 —
43.0% 2.33 —

Away corners

60.6% 1.65 —
43.6% 2.29 —
29.4% 3.4 —

Cards

79.5% 1.26 —
62.9% 1.59 —
46.0% 2.17 —
30.5% 3.28 —
37.0% 2.7 —
54.0% 1.85 —
69.5% 1.44 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds