Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-11-27
Maritimo – Nacional
Home
30%
3.33 fair
Draw
26%
3.92 fair
Away
44%
2.25 fair
Expected Goals2.66
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.549%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
39.4%
→
30.0%
-9.3 pp
Draw
26.2%
→
25.5%
-0.7 pp
Away
34.4%
→
44.5%
+10.1 pp
Over 2.5
48.1%
→
49.5%
+1.3 pp
Both teams to score
52.6%
→
53.5%
+0.9 pp
Expected Goals
2.59 →
2.66
+0.07
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.8% | 4.21 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.67 | — |
Both halves
| 6.7% | 14.84 | — |
HT/FT
| 17.1% | 5.84 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.69 | — | |||
| 11.0% | 9.1 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.54 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.32 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.83 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.48 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — |
Total goals
| 93.2% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — |
Home team goals
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — |
Away team goals
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — |
Both to score
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — |
Corners
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — |
Home corners
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — |
Away corners
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.19 | — |
Cards
| 83.4% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds