Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-11-27
Groningen – Willem II
Home
74%
1.35 fair
Draw
16%
6.44 fair
Away
10%
9.58 fair
Expected Goals3.5
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.568%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
65.6%
→
74.0%
+8.4 pp
Draw
20.7%
→
15.5%
-5.2 pp
Away
13.7%
→
10.4%
-3.2 pp
Over 2.5
53.7%
→
67.6%
+13.9 pp
Both teams to score
48.3%
→
54.9%
+6.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.84 →
3.5
+0.66
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.44 | — | |||
| 10.4% | 9.58 | — | |||
| 89.6% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — | |||
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — |
Half-time result
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 10.8% | 9.22 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 89.1% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — |
Both halves
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — |
HT/FT
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.64 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.17 | — | |||
| 8.6% | 11.64 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.57 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 33.0 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.28 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 83.7% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.56 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.72 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.76 | — |
Total goals
| 86.0% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.14 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — |
1st-half goals
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — |
Home team goals
| 92.7% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — |
Away team goals
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — |
Both to score
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — |
Corners
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — |
Home corners
| 84.4% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — |
Away corners
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.65 | — |
Cards
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.12 | — | |||
| 10.4% | 9.61 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 89.6% | 1.12 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds