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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-11-27

Nott'm Forest – Chelsea

Home 36% 2.8 fair
Draw 26% 3.9 fair
Away 39% 2.59 fair
Expected Goals2.79
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.553%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 37.3% → 35.7% -1.6 pp
Draw 24.8% → 25.7% +0.8 pp
Away 37.9% → 38.6% +0.7 pp
Over 2.5 53.4% → 52.9% -0.4 pp
Both teams to score 57.0% → 57.0% -0.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.82 → 2.79 -0.03
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.79
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.35 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.65 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

35.7% 2.8 —
25.7% 3.9 —
38.6% 2.59 —
61.4% 1.63 —
64.3% 1.56 —
74.3% 1.35 —

Half-time result

33.0% 3.03 —
40.5% 2.47 —
26.6% 3.77 —

Half-time double chance

73.5% 1.36 —
67.0% 1.49 —
59.5% 1.68 —

Both halves

8.7% 11.52 —

HT/FT

23.1% 4.32 —
6.5% 15.41 —
3.4% 29.85 —
10.9% 9.2 —
14.9% 6.72 —
14.7% 6.79 —
4.3% 23.26 —
20.5% 4.87 —

HT/FT double chance

55.4% 1.81 —
52.1% 1.92 —
39.4% 2.54 —
35.6% 2.81 —
48.7% 2.05 —
34.6% 2.89 —
31.8% 3.15 —
47.9% 2.09 —
54.4% 1.84 —

Total goals

93.6% 1.07 —
76.4% 1.31 —
52.9% 1.89 —
30.7% 3.26 —
23.6% 4.24 —
47.1% 2.12 —
69.3% 1.44 —

1st-half goals

71.7% 1.4 —
35.7% 2.8 —

Home team goals

74.4% 1.34 —
39.7% 2.52 —

Away team goals

76.1% 1.31 —
41.7% 2.4 —

Both to score

57.0% 1.76 —

Corners

75.6% 1.32 —
66.2% 1.51 —
55.8% 1.79 —
45.1% 2.22 —
35.5% 2.82 —
33.8% 2.96 —
44.2% 2.26 —
54.9% 1.82 —
64.5% 1.55 —

Home corners

63.9% 1.57 —
47.8% 2.09 —
33.1% 3.02 —

Away corners

76.1% 1.31 —
62.1% 1.61 —
47.9% 2.09 —

Cards

78.9% 1.27 —
63.3% 1.58 —
47.4% 2.11 —
33.1% 3.02 —
36.7% 2.72 —
52.6% 1.9 —
66.9% 1.5 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds