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Fixtures / SerieA / 2027-01-05

Milan – Fiorentina

Home 53% 1.87 fair
Draw 23% 4.3 fair
Away 23% 4.28 fair
Expected Goals2.94
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.556%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.94
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.27 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.86 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

53.4% 1.87 —
23.3% 4.3 —
23.4% 4.28 —
76.6% 1.3 —
46.6% 2.14 —
76.7% 1.3 —

Half-time result

39.7% 2.52 —
40.4% 2.47 —
19.9% 5.03 —

Half-time double chance

80.1% 1.25 —
60.3% 1.66 —
59.6% 1.68 —

Both halves

17.4% 5.75 —

HT/FT

32.9% 3.04 —
5.0% 20.0 —
17.7% 5.66 —
13.5% 7.39 —
9.2% 10.85 —
4.7% 21.1 —
12.3% 8.1 —

HT/FT double chance

69.1% 1.45 —
61.6% 1.62 —
29.6% 3.38 —
45.4% 2.2 —
49.9% 2.01 —
23.9% 4.19 —
38.8% 2.58 —
42.0% 2.38 —
39.8% 2.51 —

Total goals

94.8% 1.06 —
78.9% 1.27 —
56.2% 1.78 —
33.8% 2.96 —
21.1% 4.74 —
43.8% 2.28 —
66.2% 1.51 —

1st-half goals

70.7% 1.41 —
35.2% 2.84 —

Home team goals

83.7% 1.2 —
54.1% 1.85 —

Away team goals

67.5% 1.48 —
30.9% 3.24 —

Both to score

56.4% 1.77 —

Corners

55.2% 1.81 —
43.7% 2.29 —
33.5% 2.99 —
24.2% 4.12 —
16.9% 5.93 —
56.3% 1.78 —
66.5% 1.5 —
75.8% 1.32 —
83.1% 1.2 —

Home corners

59.3% 1.69 —
42.9% 2.33 —
29.0% 3.45 —

Away corners

51.9% 1.93 —
35.3% 2.84 —
22.5% 4.44 —

Cards

81.6% 1.23 —
67.2% 1.49 —
51.1% 1.96 —
36.2% 2.76 —
32.8% 3.05 —
48.9% 2.05 —
63.8% 1.57 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds