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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-12-05

Napoli – Lecce

Home 67% 1.49 fair
Draw 22% 4.63 fair
Away 11% 8.8 fair
Expected Goals2.41
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score37%
Over 2.544%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.41
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.51 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.71 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

67.0% 1.49 —
21.6% 4.63 —
11.4% 8.8 —
88.6% 1.13 —
33.0% 3.03 —
78.4% 1.28 —

Half-time result

48.9% 2.04 —
40.1% 2.49 —
11.0% 9.08 —

Half-time double chance

89.0% 1.12 —
51.1% 1.96 —
59.9% 1.67 —

Both halves

25.3% 3.95 —

HT/FT

44.9% 2.23 —
3.4% 29.15 —
20.2% 4.96 —
15.0% 6.65 —
4.9% 20.41 —
3.1% 31.95 —
5.8% 17.15 —

HT/FT double chance

83.5% 1.2 —
70.5% 1.42 —
24.0% 4.17 —
53.4% 1.87 —
53.3% 1.87 —
13.0% 7.69 —
40.4% 2.48 —
32.9% 3.04 —
28.9% 3.46 —

Total goals

90.7% 1.1 —
69.5% 1.44 —
43.6% 2.29 —
22.4% 4.46 —
30.5% 3.28 —
56.4% 1.77 —
77.6% 1.29 —

1st-half goals

67.7% 1.48 —
31.6% 3.16 —

Home team goals

83.5% 1.2 —
54.8% 1.83 —

Away team goals

44.1% 2.27 —
11.7% 8.55 —

Both to score

36.9% 2.71 —

Corners

68.0% 1.47 —
57.7% 1.73 —
46.8% 2.14 —
36.5% 2.74 —
27.7% 3.61 —
42.3% 2.36 —
53.2% 1.88 —
63.5% 1.58 —
72.3% 1.38 —

Home corners

78.5% 1.27 —
65.5% 1.53 —
52.0% 1.92 —

Away corners

44.3% 2.26 —
28.4% 3.52 —
16.8% 5.96 —

Cards

67.9% 1.47 —
49.1% 2.04 —
32.2% 3.11 —
19.2% 5.21 —
50.9% 1.96 —
67.8% 1.47 —
80.8% 1.24 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds