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Fixtures / SerieA / 2027-01-10

Fiorentina – Lecce

Home 56% 1.8 fair
Draw 25% 4.03 fair
Away 19% 5.13 fair
Expected Goals2.46
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.545%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.46
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.02 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.69 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

55.7% 1.8 —
24.8% 4.03 —
19.5% 5.13 —
80.5% 1.24 —
44.3% 2.26 —
75.2% 1.33 —

Half-time result

38.2% 2.62 —
42.3% 2.37 —
19.6% 5.11 —

Half-time double chance

80.4% 1.24 —
61.8% 1.62 —
57.7% 1.73 —

Both halves

17.5% 5.7 —

HT/FT

33.5% 2.99 —
3.8% 26.53 —
19.4% 5.15 —
16.1% 6.2 —
6.7% 14.9 —
4.9% 20.45 —
11.8% 8.45 —

HT/FT double chance

72.8% 1.37 —
60.5% 1.65 —
27.6% 3.63 —
45.0% 2.22 —
49.1% 2.04 —
21.4% 4.66 —
43.3% 2.31 —
40.8% 2.45 —
39.6% 2.53 —

Total goals

91.3% 1.09 —
70.7% 1.42 —
44.6% 2.24 —
23.1% 4.32 —
29.3% 3.41 —
55.4% 1.8 —
76.9% 1.3 —

1st-half goals

68.1% 1.47 —
31.9% 3.14 —

Home team goals

80.1% 1.25 —
48.5% 2.06 —

Away team goals

56.8% 1.76 —
20.3% 4.91 —

Both to score

45.5% 2.2 —

Corners

62.7% 1.59 —
51.9% 1.93 —
41.2% 2.43 —
31.6% 3.16 —
23.4% 4.27 —
48.1% 2.08 —
58.9% 1.7 —
68.4% 1.46 —
76.6% 1.31 —

Home corners

69.5% 1.44 —
54.7% 1.83 —
40.1% 2.49 —

Away corners

50.9% 1.97 —
34.8% 2.88 —
22.2% 4.51 —

Cards

80.6% 1.24 —
64.9% 1.54 —
48.6% 2.06 —
33.3% 3.0 —
35.1% 2.85 —
51.4% 1.95 —
66.7% 1.5 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds