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Fixtures / League Two / 2027-01-09

Chesterfield – Accrington

Home 53% 1.88 fair
Draw 23% 4.29 fair
Away 23% 4.26 fair
Expected Goals2.84
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.554%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.84
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.94 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.7 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

53.2% 1.88 —
23.3% 4.29 —
23.5% 4.26 —
76.5% 1.31 —
46.8% 2.14 —
76.7% 1.3 —

Half-time result

39.7% 2.52 —
36.7% 2.72 —
23.6% 4.24 —

Half-time double chance

76.4% 1.31 —
60.3% 1.66 —
63.3% 1.58 —

Both halves

17.2% 5.8 —

HT/FT

34.2% 2.92 —
4.4% 22.83 —
16.0% 6.27 —
13.5% 7.43 —
7.3% 13.64 —
3.1% 32.47 —
5.5% 18.32 —
15.1% 6.64 —

HT/FT double chance

68.0% 1.47 —
58.6% 1.71 —
26.2% 3.81 —
47.1% 2.12 —
53.4% 1.87 —
26.0% 3.85 —
37.9% 2.64 —
41.4% 2.41 —
41.3% 2.42 —

Total goals

94.3% 1.06 —
77.8% 1.29 —
54.1% 1.85 —
31.7% 3.15 —
22.2% 4.5 —
45.9% 2.18 —
68.3% 1.46 —

1st-half goals

76.5% 1.31 —
42.5% 2.35 —

Home team goals

82.7% 1.21 —
52.4% 1.91 —

Away team goals

66.5% 1.5 —
29.6% 3.37 —

Both to score

54.8% 1.82 —

Corners

73.1% 1.37 —
62.4% 1.6 —
51.4% 1.95 —
40.6% 2.46 —
31.2% 3.21 —
37.5% 2.66 —
48.6% 2.06 —
59.4% 1.68 —
68.8% 1.45 —

Home corners

83.2% 1.2 —
71.3% 1.4 —
57.5% 1.74 —

Away corners

46.5% 2.15 —
29.9% 3.34 —
17.3% 5.79 —

Cards

81.3% 1.23 —
65.9% 1.52 —
49.3% 2.03 —
33.8% 2.96 —
34.1% 2.93 —
50.7% 1.97 —
66.2% 1.51 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds