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Fixtures / National League / 2027-01-08

Aldershot – Sutton

Home 43% 2.32 fair
Draw 24% 4.1 fair
Away 32% 3.08 fair
Expected Goals2.94
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.556%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

2 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 43.1% → 43.1% +0.0 pp
Draw 24.4% → 24.4% +0.0 pp
Away 32.5% → 32.4% -0.1 pp
Over 2.5 56.1% → 56.1% -0.0 pp
Both teams to score 59.2% → 59.2% -0.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.94 → 2.94 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.94
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.36 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.09 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

43.1% 2.32 —
24.4% 4.1 —
32.4% 3.08 —
67.6% 1.48 —
56.9% 1.76 —
75.6% 1.32 —

Half-time result

30.1% 3.32 —
39.1% 2.56 —
30.8% 3.24 —

Half-time double chance

69.2% 1.45 —
69.9% 1.43 —
60.9% 1.64 —

Both halves

12.2% 8.23 —

HT/FT

24.1% 4.15 —
4.3% 23.31 —
15.6% 6.42 —
13.6% 7.34 —
9.8% 10.15 —
3.5% 28.99 —
6.5% 15.41 —
20.9% 4.79 —

HT/FT double chance

57.6% 1.74 —
51.2% 1.95 —
29.5% 3.39 —
38.4% 2.61 —
50.1% 1.99 —
33.4% 3.0 —
39.2% 2.55 —
49.8% 2.01 —
50.9% 1.97 —

Total goals

94.9% 1.05 —
79.6% 1.26 —
56.1% 1.78 —
33.5% 2.98 —
20.4% 4.9 —
43.9% 2.28 —
66.5% 1.5 —

1st-half goals

74.4% 1.34 —
39.1% 2.56 —

Home team goals

80.0% 1.25 —
46.9% 2.13 —

Away team goals

74.1% 1.35 —
38.9% 2.57 —

Both to score

59.2% 1.69 —

Corners

68.9% 1.45 —
57.3% 1.74 —
45.4% 2.2 —
34.3% 2.92 —
25.0% 4.0 —
42.7% 2.34 —
54.6% 1.83 —
65.7% 1.52 —
75.0% 1.33 —

Home corners

69.7% 1.43 —
52.5% 1.91 —
36.6% 2.74 —

Away corners

62.7% 1.59 —
45.3% 2.21 —
29.8% 3.36 —

Cards

84.8% 1.18 —
71.0% 1.41 —
54.7% 1.83 —
39.4% 2.54 —
29.0% 3.44 —
45.3% 2.21 —
60.7% 1.65 —

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