Man United – Newcastle
Home
44%
2.29 fair
Draw
23%
4.37 fair
Away
33%
3.0 fair
Expected Goals3.19
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.562%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
43.1%
→
43.8%
+0.7 pp
Draw
23.8%
→
22.9%
-0.9 pp
Away
33.1%
→
33.4%
+0.2 pp
Over 2.5
59.5%
→
61.8%
+2.3 pp
Both teams to score
61.9%
→
63.2%
+1.3 pp
Expected Goals
3.1 →
3.19
+0.09
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 43.8% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.37 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — |
Both halves
| 12.3% | 8.1 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.38 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.29 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 8.01 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.87 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.21 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.05 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.56 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — |
Total goals
| 95.9% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.71 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.2% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — |
Away team goals
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — |
Both to score
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — |
Corners
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — |
Home corners
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — |
Away corners
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — |
Cards
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 70.7% | 1.42 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds