Fixtures / SerieA / 2027-01-06
Lecce – Parma
Home
31%
3.19 fair
Draw
33%
3.07 fair
Away
36%
2.77 fair
Expected Goals1.82
Most Likely Score0-0
Both teams to score36%
Over 2.528%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
30.6%
→
31.3%
+0.7 pp
Draw
32.7%
→
32.6%
-0.1 pp
Away
36.7%
→
36.1%
-0.6 pp
Over 2.5
27.0%
→
27.5%
+0.5 pp
Both teams to score
35.0%
→
35.9%
+0.9 pp
Expected Goals
1.8 →
1.82
+0.02
Most Likely Score
0-0
→
0-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 31.3% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — |
Half-time result
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.29 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.1% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — |
Both halves
| 5.9% | 16.95 | — |
HT/FT
| 18.1% | 5.54 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.89 | — | |||
| 12.4% | 8.08 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.26 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 33.11 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.67 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — |
Total goals
| 84.1% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.15 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 89.1% | 1.12 | — |
1st-half goals
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.2 | — |
Home team goals
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.67 | — |
Away team goals
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — |
Both to score
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — |
Corners
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — |
Home corners
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — |
Away corners
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — |
Cards
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.38 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds