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Fixtures / SerieA / 2027-01-06

Atalanta – Como

Home 33% 2.99 fair
Draw 26% 3.81 fair
Away 40% 2.48 fair
Expected Goals2.59
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.548%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 32.1% → 33.5% +1.4 pp
Draw 25.8% → 26.2% +0.4 pp
Away 42.1% → 40.3% -1.8 pp
Over 2.5 49.2% → 48.4% -0.8 pp
Both teams to score 53.4% → 52.9% -0.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.64 → 2.59 -0.05
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.59
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.52 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.93 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

33.5% 2.99 —
26.2% 3.81 —
40.3% 2.48 —
59.7% 1.68 —
66.5% 1.5 —
73.8% 1.36 —

Half-time result

30.9% 3.24 —
40.3% 2.48 —
28.8% 3.47 —

Half-time double chance

71.2% 1.41 —
69.2% 1.45 —
59.7% 1.68 —

Both halves

7.5% 13.33 —

HT/FT

22.2% 4.51 —
5.9% 17.01 —
10.0% 9.99 —
16.1% 6.21 —
14.2% 7.05 —
4.2% 23.53 —
23.3% 4.29 —

HT/FT double chance

54.2% 1.85 —
49.2% 2.03 —
39.0% 2.57 —
33.6% 2.98 —
49.6% 2.02 —
36.2% 2.76 —
31.6% 3.16 —
48.8% 2.05 —
57.9% 1.73 —

Total goals

92.7% 1.08 —
73.3% 1.36 —
48.4% 2.07 —
25.9% 3.86 —
26.7% 3.75 —
51.6% 1.94 —
74.1% 1.35 —

1st-half goals

72.9% 1.37 —
38.0% 2.63 —

Home team goals

70.7% 1.42 —
34.7% 2.88 —

Away team goals

74.9% 1.34 —
40.0% 2.5 —

Both to score

52.9% 1.89 —

Corners

58.1% 1.72 —
47.0% 2.13 —
36.0% 2.78 —
26.9% 3.71 —
19.1% 5.25 —
53.0% 1.89 —
64.0% 1.56 —
73.1% 1.37 —
81.0% 1.24 —

Home corners

57.6% 1.73 —
41.2% 2.43 —
27.7% 3.61 —

Away corners

57.0% 1.75 —
40.8% 2.45 —
27.3% 3.66 —

Cards

71.2% 1.41 —
53.2% 1.88 —
35.6% 2.81 —
22.2% 4.49 —
46.8% 2.14 —
64.3% 1.55 —
77.8% 1.29 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds