Leeds – Man City
Home
23%
4.43 fair
Draw
24%
4.11 fair
Away
53%
1.88 fair
Expected Goals2.65
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.550%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
2 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
20.9%
→
22.6%
+1.6 pp
Draw
24.1%
→
24.3%
+0.2 pp
Away
54.9%
→
53.1%
-1.9 pp
Over 2.5
50.1%
→
49.5%
-0.6 pp
Both teams to score
50.8%
→
50.9%
+0.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.69 →
2.65
-0.04
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — |
Both halves
| 4.2% | 23.92 | — |
HT/FT
| 13.8% | 7.25 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.97 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 22.99 | — | |||
| 8.0% | 12.45 | — | |||
| 15.1% | 6.61 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.2 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.21 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.72 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — |
Total goals
| 93.1% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — |
1st-half goals
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — |
Home team goals
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — |
Away team goals
| 81.0% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — |
Both to score
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — |
Corners
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 20.9% | 4.78 | — |
Away corners
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — |
Cards
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.86 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds