Everton – Aston Villa
Home
36%
2.8 fair
Draw
27%
3.69 fair
Away
37%
2.69 fair
Expected Goals2.49
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.545%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
2 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
34.7%
→
35.7%
+1.0 pp
Draw
27.8%
→
27.1%
-0.7 pp
Away
37.5%
→
37.2%
-0.3 pp
Over 2.5
42.4%
→
45.1%
+2.7 pp
Both teams to score
48.1%
→
50.6%
+2.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.38 →
2.49
+0.11
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — |
Both halves
| 8.3% | 11.99 | — |
HT/FT
| 20.2% | 4.94 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.83 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.27 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.65 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.71 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.25 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.91 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — |
Total goals
| 91.7% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — |
1st-half goals
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — |
Home team goals
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.87 | — |
Away team goals
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — |
Both to score
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — |
Corners
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — |
Home corners
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — |
Away corners
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — |
Cards
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds