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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-12-19

St Pauli – Hertha

Home 40% 2.47 fair
Draw 26% 3.8 fair
Away 33% 3.0 fair
Expected Goals2.62
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.548%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 43.8% → 40.4% -3.4 pp
Draw 26.8% → 26.3% -0.5 pp
Away 29.5% → 33.3% +3.8 pp
Over 2.5 46.3% → 48.4% +2.1 pp
Both teams to score 50.8% → 53.3% +2.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.52 → 2.62 +0.1
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.62
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.02 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.97 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

40.4% 2.47 —
26.3% 3.8 —
33.3% 3.0 —
66.7% 1.5 —
59.6% 1.68 —
73.7% 1.36 —

Half-time result

31.5% 3.17 —
47.3% 2.11 —
21.2% 4.72 —

Half-time double chance

78.8% 1.27 —
68.5% 1.46 —
52.7% 1.9 —

Both halves

10.2% 9.84 —

HT/FT

23.0% 4.36 —
5.8% 17.18 —
15.8% 6.35 —
16.2% 6.19 —
15.4% 6.49 —
4.3% 23.15 —
15.2% 6.6 —

HT/FT double chance

60.7% 1.65 —
56.8% 1.76 —
40.1% 2.49 —
34.8% 2.87 —
42.6% 2.35 —
28.0% 3.57 —
38.0% 2.64 —
48.0% 2.08 —
51.0% 1.96 —

Total goals

92.6% 1.08 —
73.7% 1.36 —
48.4% 2.07 —
26.8% 3.73 —
26.3% 3.8 —
51.6% 1.94 —
73.2% 1.37 —

1st-half goals

61.9% 1.62 —
25.1% 3.98 —

Home team goals

74.9% 1.34 —
40.3% 2.48 —

Away team goals

71.1% 1.41 —
34.9% 2.87 —

Both to score

53.3% 1.88 —

Corners

72.9% 1.37 —
62.7% 1.59 —
51.9% 1.93 —
41.4% 2.42 —
32.2% 3.1 —
37.3% 2.68 —
48.1% 2.08 —
58.6% 1.71 —
67.8% 1.48 —

Home corners

76.3% 1.31 —
62.6% 1.6 —
47.9% 2.09 —

Away corners

58.9% 1.7 —
42.0% 2.38 —
28.0% 3.57 —

Cards

84.1% 1.19 —
69.6% 1.44 —
53.4% 1.87 —
38.0% 2.64 —
30.4% 3.29 —
46.6% 2.15 —
62.1% 1.61 —

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