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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-12-19

Karlsruhe – Dresden

Home 46% 2.17 fair
Draw 22% 4.56 fair
Away 32% 3.13 fair
Expected Goals3.62
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score69%
Over 2.570%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 48.9% → 46.2% -2.7 pp
Draw 21.0% → 21.9% +1.0 pp
Away 30.2% → 31.9% +1.7 pp
Over 2.5 69.3% → 69.8% +0.5 pp
Both teams to score 68.1% → 69.3% +1.2 pp
Expected Goals 3.6 → 3.62 +0.02
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.62
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.21 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.4 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

46.2% 2.17 —
21.9% 4.56 —
31.9% 3.13 —
68.1% 1.47 —
53.8% 1.86 —
78.0% 1.28 —

Half-time result

25.8% 3.88 —
34.0% 2.94 —
40.2% 2.49 —

Half-time double chance

59.8% 1.67 —
74.2% 1.35 —
66.0% 1.51 —

Both halves

13.2% 7.59 —

HT/FT

22.0% 4.55 —
17.2% 5.83 —
9.9% 10.07 —
6.9% 14.47 —
7.0% 14.22 —
9.0% 11.06 —
24.2% 4.14 —

HT/FT double chance

52.0% 1.92 —
46.9% 2.13 —
20.6% 4.84 —
41.0% 2.44 —
54.0% 1.85 —
37.0% 2.7 —
43.1% 2.32 —
55.2% 1.81 —
50.0% 2.0 —

Total goals

87.2% 1.15 —
69.8% 1.43 —
49.2% 2.03 —
12.8% 7.82 —
30.2% 3.32 —
50.8% 1.97 —

1st-half goals

81.0% 1.23 —
50.0% 2.0 —

Home team goals

86.0% 1.16 —
59.1% 1.69 —

Away team goals

80.4% 1.24 —
48.7% 2.05 —

Both to score

69.3% 1.44 —

Corners

74.7% 1.34 —
64.6% 1.55 —
54.0% 1.85 —
43.6% 2.29 —
33.9% 2.95 —
35.4% 2.82 —
46.0% 2.17 —
56.4% 1.77 —
66.1% 1.51 —

Home corners

72.3% 1.38 —
57.7% 1.73 —
43.2% 2.31 —

Away corners

67.0% 1.49 —
50.8% 1.97 —
36.4% 2.75 —

Cards

78.2% 1.28 —
61.2% 1.64 —
44.0% 2.27 —
28.8% 3.47 —
38.9% 2.57 —
56.0% 1.79 —
71.2% 1.41 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds