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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-12-18

Cottbus – Holstein Kiel

Home 45% 2.21 fair
Draw 24% 4.18 fair
Away 31% 3.25 fair
Expected Goals2.97
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.557%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 46.5% → 45.2% -1.2 pp
Draw 23.0% → 23.9% +0.9 pp
Away 30.5% → 30.8% +0.3 pp
Over 2.5 64.0% → 57.0% -7.0 pp
Both teams to score 64.5% → 59.2% -5.3 pp
Expected Goals 3.29 → 2.97 -0.32
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.97
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.47 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.4 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

45.2% 2.21 —
23.9% 4.18 —
30.8% 3.25 —
69.2% 1.45 —
54.8% 1.83 —
76.0% 1.31 —

Half-time result

36.3% 2.76 —
39.9% 2.51 —
23.8% 4.2 —

Half-time double chance

76.2% 1.31 —
63.7% 1.57 —
60.1% 1.66 —

Both halves

13.3% 7.52 —

HT/FT

28.1% 3.56 —
5.6% 17.92 —
14.5% 6.9 —
13.8% 7.27 —
11.7% 8.56 —
4.6% 21.65 —
16.5% 6.06 —

HT/FT double chance

61.9% 1.62 —
56.9% 1.76 —
33.7% 2.97 —
40.9% 2.44 —
49.9% 2.0 —
29.3% 3.41 —
35.6% 2.81 —
45.4% 2.2 —
46.5% 2.15 —

Total goals

94.7% 1.06 —
79.5% 1.26 —
57.0% 1.75 —
34.6% 2.89 —
20.5% 4.87 —
43.0% 2.33 —
65.4% 1.53 —

1st-half goals

71.8% 1.39 —
35.9% 2.78 —

Home team goals

80.6% 1.24 —
49.0% 2.04 —

Away team goals

73.3% 1.36 —
38.1% 2.62 —

Both to score

59.2% 1.69 —

Corners

82.8% 1.21 —
74.6% 1.34 —
65.8% 1.52 —
56.1% 1.78 —
46.5% 2.15 —
25.4% 3.94 —
34.2% 2.93 —
43.9% 2.28 —
53.5% 1.87 —

Home corners

78.6% 1.27 —
65.4% 1.53 —
51.7% 1.93 —

Away corners

74.3% 1.35 —
59.7% 1.68 —
45.9% 2.18 —

Cards

87.5% 1.14 —
74.9% 1.34 —
59.7% 1.68 —
44.6% 2.24 —
25.1% 3.98 —
40.3% 2.48 —
55.4% 1.81 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds