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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-12-12

Dresden – Cottbus

Home 46% 2.18 fair
Draw 23% 4.37 fair
Away 31% 3.2 fair
Expected Goals3.41
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score67%
Over 2.566%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 43.2% → 45.9% +2.7 pp
Draw 21.3% → 22.9% +1.6 pp
Away 35.5% → 31.3% -4.3 pp
Over 2.5 72.8% → 65.8% -7.0 pp
Both teams to score 71.8% → 66.7% -5.1 pp
Expected Goals 3.79 → 3.41 -0.38
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.41
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.54 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.51 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

45.9% 2.18 —
22.9% 4.37 —
31.3% 3.2 —
68.7% 1.45 —
54.1% 1.85 —
77.1% 1.3 —

Half-time result

43.1% 2.32 —
34.8% 2.88 —
22.1% 4.52 —

Half-time double chance

77.9% 1.28 —
56.9% 1.76 —
65.2% 1.53 —

Both halves

14.0% 7.14 —

HT/FT

32.4% 3.09 —
7.1% 14.01 —
3.6% 27.4 —
11.4% 8.77 —
11.5% 8.67 —
11.8% 8.46 —
4.2% 23.87 —
15.8% 6.33 —

HT/FT double chance

62.4% 1.6 —
59.2% 1.69 —
34.2% 2.93 —
45.8% 2.18 —
53.9% 1.85 —
30.8% 3.25 —
29.2% 3.42 —
41.1% 2.43 —
43.3% 2.31 —

Total goals

96.7% 1.03 —
85.3% 1.17 —
65.8% 1.52 —
44.5% 2.25 —
14.7% 6.8 —
34.2% 2.93 —
55.5% 1.8 —

1st-half goals

79.2% 1.26 —
46.6% 2.15 —

Home team goals

84.5% 1.18 —
56.0% 1.79 —

Away team goals

78.8% 1.27 —
45.0% 2.22 —

Both to score

66.7% 1.5 —

Corners

83.6% 1.2 —
75.5% 1.32 —
66.3% 1.51 —
56.6% 1.77 —
46.9% 2.13 —
24.5% 4.08 —
33.7% 2.97 —
43.4% 2.3 —
53.1% 1.88 —

Home corners

80.2% 1.25 —
67.1% 1.49 —
53.2% 1.88 —

Away corners

73.5% 1.36 —
58.6% 1.71 —
44.5% 2.25 —

Cards

79.4% 1.26 —
63.2% 1.58 —
45.8% 2.18 —
30.3% 3.3 —
36.8% 2.72 —
54.2% 1.85 —
69.7% 1.44 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds