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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-12-05

Karlsruhe – Holstein Kiel

Home 43% 2.3 fair
Draw 24% 4.23 fair
Away 33% 3.04 fair
Expected Goals3.09
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.559%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 42.5% → 43.5% +0.9 pp
Draw 23.8% → 23.6% -0.1 pp
Away 33.7% → 32.9% -0.8 pp
Over 2.5 58.6% → 59.4% +0.8 pp
Both teams to score 60.7% → 61.7% +1.0 pp
Expected Goals 3.03 → 3.09 +0.06
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.09
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.15 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.2 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

43.5% 2.3 —
23.6% 4.23 —
32.9% 3.04 —
67.1% 1.49 —
56.5% 1.77 —
76.4% 1.31 —

Half-time result

31.5% 3.17 —
39.0% 2.57 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Half-time double chance

70.5% 1.42 —
68.5% 1.46 —
61.1% 1.64 —

Both halves

12.3% 8.1 —

HT/FT

24.8% 4.03 —
4.8% 20.66 —
15.3% 6.54 —
12.8% 7.81 —
10.8% 9.23 —
3.4% 29.59 —
6.0% 16.69 —
20.2% 4.96 —

HT/FT double chance

57.8% 1.73 —
52.8% 1.89 —
30.4% 3.29 —
39.0% 2.56 —
50.2% 1.99 —
32.9% 3.04 —
37.5% 2.67 —
49.7% 2.01 —
49.8% 2.01 —

Total goals

95.7% 1.05 —
81.1% 1.23 —
59.4% 1.68 —
37.1% 2.69 —
18.9% 5.29 —
40.6% 2.46 —
62.9% 1.59 —

1st-half goals

74.5% 1.34 —
39.7% 2.52 —

Home team goals

81.1% 1.23 —
49.4% 2.03 —

Away team goals

76.2% 1.31 —
41.5% 2.41 —

Both to score

61.7% 1.62 —

Corners

74.4% 1.34 —
64.3% 1.55 —
53.7% 1.86 —
43.0% 2.33 —
33.3% 3.0 —
35.6% 2.81 —
46.3% 2.16 —
57.0% 1.75 —
66.7% 1.5 —

Home corners

72.8% 1.37 —
58.1% 1.72 —
43.1% 2.32 —

Away corners

66.0% 1.51 —
49.6% 2.01 —
35.2% 2.84 —

Cards

86.1% 1.16 —
72.7% 1.37 —
56.5% 1.77 —
41.2% 2.43 —
27.3% 3.67 —
43.5% 2.3 —
58.8% 1.7 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds