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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-12-04

Bielefeld – Dresden

Home 49% 2.02 fair
Draw 22% 4.49 fair
Away 28% 3.54 fair
Expected Goals3.35
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.565%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 50.5% → 49.5% -1.1 pp
Draw 21.8% → 22.2% +0.4 pp
Away 27.6% → 28.3% +0.7 pp
Over 2.5 65.8% → 64.8% -1.0 pp
Both teams to score 65.3% → 64.9% -0.3 pp
Expected Goals 3.38 → 3.35 -0.03
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.35
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.43 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.48 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

49.5% 2.02 —
22.2% 4.49 —
28.3% 3.54 —
71.7% 1.39 —
50.5% 1.98 —
77.7% 1.29 —

Half-time result

26.5% 3.78 —
34.9% 2.87 —
38.7% 2.59 —

Half-time double chance

61.3% 1.63 —
73.5% 1.36 —
65.1% 1.54 —

Both halves

14.5% 6.89 —

HT/FT

23.5% 4.25 —
18.7% 5.34 —
10.8% 9.26 —
5.3% 18.73 —
7.2% 13.81 —
9.1% 10.98 —
22.3% 4.48 —

HT/FT double chance

55.4% 1.81 —
48.2% 2.08 —
19.1% 5.24 —
42.2% 2.37 —
53.7% 1.86 —
34.4% 2.91 —
45.9% 2.18 —
53.6% 1.87 —
47.6% 2.1 —

Total goals

96.5% 1.04 —
84.8% 1.18 —
64.8% 1.54 —
42.8% 2.33 —
15.2% 6.57 —
35.2% 2.84 —
57.2% 1.75 —

1st-half goals

80.0% 1.25 —
47.3% 2.11 —

Home team goals

85.5% 1.17 —
57.6% 1.74 —

Away team goals

75.9% 1.32 —
41.4% 2.41 —

Both to score

64.9% 1.54 —

Corners

76.4% 1.31 —
66.8% 1.5 —
56.5% 1.77 —
46.1% 2.17 —
36.0% 2.77 —
33.2% 3.01 —
43.5% 2.3 —
53.9% 1.85 —
64.0% 1.56 —

Home corners

78.0% 1.28 —
64.2% 1.56 —
49.6% 2.01 —

Away corners

62.9% 1.59 —
46.6% 2.15 —
32.5% 3.08 —

Cards

79.1% 1.26 —
62.7% 1.59 —
45.4% 2.2 —
30.3% 3.3 —
37.2% 2.68 —
54.6% 1.83 —
69.7% 1.44 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds