Chelsea – Aston Villa
Home
46%
2.2 fair
Draw
23%
4.28 fair
Away
31%
3.21 fair
Expected Goals3.17
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.561%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
2 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
45.4%
→
45.5%
+0.2 pp
Draw
23.9%
→
23.4%
-0.5 pp
Away
30.8%
→
31.1%
+0.4 pp
Over 2.5
59.6%
→
61.1%
+1.6 pp
Both teams to score
61.5%
→
62.6%
+1.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.09 →
3.17
+0.08
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.3 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — |
Both halves
| 13.6% | 7.34 | — |
HT/FT
| 29.0% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.26 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.23 | — | |||
| 12.9% | 7.74 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.32 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.15 | — | |||
| 16.3% | 6.12 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — |
Total goals
| 95.7% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 82.2% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.62 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — |
1st-half goals
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.6% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.91 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — |
Both to score
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — |
Corners
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — |
Home corners
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — |
Away corners
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — |
Cards
| 83.1% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds