Arsenal – Man United
Home
67%
1.5 fair
Draw
20%
5.01 fair
Away
13%
7.52 fair
Expected Goals2.81
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
65.5%
→
66.7%
+1.2 pp
Draw
21.0%
→
20.0%
-1.0 pp
Away
13.6%
→
13.3%
-0.3 pp
Over 2.5
51.4%
→
52.9%
+1.5 pp
Both teams to score
46.1%
→
46.5%
+0.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.73 →
2.81
+0.08
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.01 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.52 | — | |||
| 86.7% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — |
Half-time result
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.86 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 88.7% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — |
Both halves
| 25.3% | 3.96 | — |
HT/FT
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.33 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.41 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.84 | — | |||
| 6.7% | 14.93 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 31.95 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.92 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 81.0% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.24 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.55 | — |
Total goals
| 94.0% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — |
Home team goals
| 86.8% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — |
Away team goals
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.48 | — |
Both to score
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — |
Corners
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — |
Home corners
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — |
Away corners
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.94 | — |
Cards
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds