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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-20

Sunderland – Crystal Palace

Home 40% 2.52 fair
Draw 28% 3.53 fair
Away 32% 3.12 fair
Expected Goals2.26
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.540%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

2 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 38.6% → 39.6% +1.1 pp
Draw 28.3% → 28.3% +0.1 pp
Away 33.2% → 32.0% -1.2 pp
Over 2.5 39.6% → 39.5% -0.1 pp
Both teams to score 46.0% → 45.5% -0.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.28 → 2.26 -0.02
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.26
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.07 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.09 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

39.6% 2.52 —
28.3% 3.53 —
32.0% 3.12 —
68.0% 1.47 —
60.4% 1.66 —
71.7% 1.4 —

Half-time result

29.0% 3.45 —
47.5% 2.11 —
23.5% 4.26 —

Half-time double chance

76.5% 1.31 —
71.0% 1.41 —
52.5% 1.9 —

Both halves

10.0% 10.05 —

HT/FT

22.4% 4.46 —
4.9% 20.37 —
15.5% 6.45 —
18.9% 5.28 —
13.0% 7.67 —
4.5% 22.27 —
17.3% 5.78 —

HT/FT double chance

61.8% 1.62 —
52.7% 1.9 —
38.6% 2.59 —
33.5% 2.98 —
43.1% 2.32 —
28.4% 3.52 —
40.7% 2.46 —
47.5% 2.1 —
53.8% 1.86 —

Total goals

89.8% 1.11 —
66.4% 1.51 —
39.5% 2.53 —
19.1% 5.22 —
33.6% 2.98 —
60.5% 1.65 —
80.8% 1.24 —

1st-half goals

61.9% 1.61 —
24.9% 4.01 —

Home team goals

70.3% 1.42 —
34.2% 2.93 —

Away team goals

65.0% 1.54 —
28.4% 3.52 —

Both to score

45.5% 2.2 —

Corners

64.5% 1.55 —
53.4% 1.87 —
42.3% 2.36 —
32.0% 3.12 —
23.5% 4.26 —
46.6% 2.15 —
57.7% 1.73 —
68.0% 1.47 —
76.5% 1.31 —

Home corners

68.1% 1.47 —
52.4% 1.91 —
37.4% 2.68 —

Away corners

55.8% 1.79 —
38.9% 2.57 —
25.2% 3.97 —

Cards

72.6% 1.38 —
55.0% 1.82 —
38.4% 2.6 —
24.8% 4.03 —
45.0% 2.22 —
61.6% 1.62 —
75.2% 1.33 —

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