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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-20

Nott'm Forest – Everton

Home 39% 2.53 fair
Draw 30% 3.38 fair
Away 31% 3.23 fair
Expected Goals2.2
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.538%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 39.3% → 39.5% +0.2 pp
Draw 29.2% → 29.6% +0.4 pp
Away 31.5% → 30.9% -0.6 pp
Over 2.5 36.3% → 37.8% +1.5 pp
Both teams to score 43.3% → 44.5% +1.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.15 → 2.2 +0.05
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.01 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.73 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

39.5% 2.53 —
29.6% 3.38 —
30.9% 3.23 —
69.1% 1.45 —
60.5% 1.65 —
70.4% 1.42 —

Half-time result

30.4% 3.29 —
49.9% 2.0 —
19.7% 5.08 —

Half-time double chance

80.3% 1.25 —
69.6% 1.44 —
50.1% 2.0 —

Both halves

9.3% 10.73 —

HT/FT

23.0% 4.34 —
5.4% 18.62 —
14.9% 6.69 —
20.3% 4.94 —
14.7% 6.81 —
4.0% 25.13 —
14.2% 7.04 —

HT/FT double chance

63.6% 1.57 —
54.7% 1.83 —
42.4% 2.36 —
33.9% 2.95 —
40.8% 2.45 —
25.6% 3.91 —
40.7% 2.46 —
45.3% 2.21 —
53.1% 1.88 —

Total goals

88.5% 1.13 —
64.5% 1.55 —
37.8% 2.65 —
18.0% 5.55 —
35.5% 2.82 —
62.2% 1.61 —
82.0% 1.22 —

1st-half goals

58.2% 1.72 —
21.6% 4.63 —

Home team goals

69.2% 1.45 —
33.2% 3.01 —

Away team goals

63.8% 1.57 —
26.8% 3.73 —

Both to score

44.5% 2.25 —

Corners

73.0% 1.37 —
62.7% 1.59 —
51.9% 1.93 —
41.7% 2.4 —
32.4% 3.09 —
37.3% 2.68 —
48.1% 2.08 —
58.3% 1.72 —
67.6% 1.48 —

Home corners

74.3% 1.35 —
59.9% 1.67 —
45.0% 2.22 —

Away corners

62.0% 1.61 —
45.7% 2.19 —
31.1% 3.22 —

Cards

67.2% 1.49 —
48.8% 2.05 —
32.6% 3.07 —
20.0% 5.01 —
51.2% 1.95 —
67.4% 1.48 —
80.0% 1.25 —

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