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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-13

Crystal Palace – Man United

Home 32% 3.1 fair
Draw 25% 3.98 fair
Away 43% 2.35 fair
Expected Goals2.84
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.554%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 32.6% → 32.3% -0.3 pp
Draw 25.4% → 25.1% -0.3 pp
Away 42.0% → 42.6% +0.6 pp
Over 2.5 51.1% → 54.2% +3.1 pp
Both teams to score 55.3% → 57.4% +2.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.73 → 2.84 +0.11
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.84
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.18 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.01 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

32.3% 3.1 —
25.1% 3.98 —
42.6% 2.35 —
57.4% 1.74 —
67.7% 1.48 —
74.9% 1.34 —

Half-time result

25.1% 3.98 —
44.3% 2.26 —
30.6% 3.27 —

Half-time double chance

69.4% 1.44 —
74.9% 1.34 —
55.7% 1.8 —

Both halves

7.6% 13.23 —

HT/FT

17.2% 5.82 —
5.1% 19.8 —
12.7% 7.91 —
15.0% 6.67 —
16.7% 6.0 —
5.1% 19.72 —
23.0% 4.34 —

HT/FT double chance

49.9% 2.0 —
49.4% 2.02 —
39.6% 2.52 —
29.8% 3.36 —
45.6% 2.2 —
36.0% 2.78 —
35.2% 2.84 —
54.8% 1.82 —
59.8% 1.67 —

Total goals

94.0% 1.06 —
77.5% 1.29 —
54.2% 1.84 —
32.0% 3.13 —
22.5% 4.44 —
45.8% 2.18 —
68.0% 1.47 —

1st-half goals

66.7% 1.5 —
30.2% 3.31 —

Home team goals

73.0% 1.37 —
37.6% 2.66 —

Away team goals

78.4% 1.27 —
45.2% 2.21 —

Both to score

57.4% 1.74 —

Corners

74.7% 1.34 —
64.5% 1.55 —
54.1% 1.85 —
43.4% 2.3 —
33.8% 2.96 —
35.5% 2.81 —
45.9% 2.18 —
56.6% 1.77 —
66.2% 1.51 —

Home corners

65.0% 1.54 —
48.9% 2.05 —
33.9% 2.95 —

Away corners

73.5% 1.36 —
58.8% 1.7 —
44.7% 2.24 —

Cards

71.5% 1.4 —
53.6% 1.87 —
37.4% 2.68 —
23.6% 4.23 —
46.4% 2.16 —
62.6% 1.6 —
76.3% 1.31 —

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