Coventry – Aston Villa
Home
24%
4.19 fair
Draw
22%
4.58 fair
Away
54%
1.84 fair
Expected Goals3.22
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.562%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
26.1%
→
23.9%
-2.3 pp
Draw
24.0%
→
21.9%
-2.1 pp
Away
49.9%
→
54.3%
+4.4 pp
Over 2.5
55.8%
→
62.1%
+6.3 pp
Both teams to score
57.2%
→
61.4%
+4.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.91 →
3.22
+0.31
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 23.9% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.58 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 22.7% | 4.4 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — |
Both halves
| 4.8% | 20.7 | — |
HT/FT
| 11.6% | 8.61 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.42 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.61 | — | |||
| 10.8% | 9.29 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.5 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.47 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.85 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.63 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — |
Total goals
| 96.1% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.1% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.91 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — |
1st-half goals
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.03 | — |
Home team goals
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — |
Away team goals
| 86.1% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — |
Both to score
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — |
Corners
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — |
Away corners
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.12 | — |
Cards
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.49 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds