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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-13

Sunderland – Nott'm Forest

Home 34% 2.96 fair
Draw 30% 3.37 fair
Away 37% 2.74 fair
Expected Goals2.19
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.537%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

2 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 34.3% → 33.8% -0.5 pp
Draw 29.2% → 29.7% +0.4 pp
Away 36.5% → 36.6% +0.1 pp
Over 2.5 37.6% → 37.4% -0.2 pp
Both teams to score 44.4% → 44.3% -0.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.21 → 2.19 -0.02
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.19
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.16 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.01 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

33.8% 2.96 —
29.7% 3.37 —
36.6% 2.74 —
63.4% 1.58 —
66.2% 1.51 —
70.3% 1.42 —

Half-time result

21.9% 4.56 —
48.9% 2.05 —
29.2% 3.43 —

Half-time double chance

70.8% 1.41 —
78.1% 1.28 —
51.1% 1.96 —

Both halves

7.1% 14.04 —

HT/FT

16.5% 6.07 —
4.1% 24.45 —
15.3% 6.54 —
19.9% 5.02 —
13.7% 7.32 —
5.7% 17.67 —
21.5% 4.64 —

HT/FT double chance

55.8% 1.79 —
46.8% 2.14 —
39.0% 2.56 —
28.2% 3.54 —
41.4% 2.42 —
32.6% 3.06 —
42.9% 2.33 —
52.5% 1.91 —
60.8% 1.65 —

Total goals

88.7% 1.13 —
64.4% 1.55 —
37.4% 2.67 —
18.0% 5.54 —
35.6% 2.81 —
62.6% 1.6 —
82.0% 1.22 —

1st-half goals

59.9% 1.67 —
23.3% 4.29 —

Home team goals

65.5% 1.53 —
29.1% 3.43 —

Away team goals

67.5% 1.48 —
30.8% 3.25 —

Both to score

44.3% 2.26 —

Corners

65.5% 1.53 —
54.3% 1.84 —
42.8% 2.34 —
32.5% 3.08 —
23.9% 4.18 —
45.7% 2.19 —
57.2% 1.75 —
67.5% 1.48 —
76.1% 1.31 —

Home corners

65.6% 1.53 —
49.4% 2.02 —
35.0% 2.86 —

Away corners

60.1% 1.66 —
43.5% 2.3 —
29.2% 3.42 —

Cards

71.2% 1.4 —
53.7% 1.86 —
37.0% 2.7 —
23.4% 4.27 —
46.3% 2.16 —
63.0% 1.59 —
76.5% 1.31 —

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