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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-13

Brighton – Everton

Home 53% 1.88 fair
Draw 25% 3.97 fair
Away 22% 4.62 fair
Expected Goals2.48
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.545%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 52.9% → 53.1% +0.3 pp
Draw 25.1% → 25.2% +0.1 pp
Away 22.0% → 21.6% -0.4 pp
Over 2.5 45.4% → 45.1% -0.3 pp
Both teams to score 47.2% → 47.3% +0.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.49 → 2.48 -0.01
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.48
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.03 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.04 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

53.1% 1.88 —
25.2% 3.97 —
21.6% 4.62 —
78.3% 1.28 —
46.8% 2.13 —
74.8% 1.34 —

Half-time result

35.8% 2.79 —
43.9% 2.28 —
20.3% 4.92 —

Half-time double chance

79.7% 1.26 —
64.2% 1.56 —
56.1% 1.78 —

Both halves

16.0% 6.27 —

HT/FT

30.6% 3.27 —
4.2% 24.1 —
19.9% 5.04 —
15.8% 6.31 —
8.1% 12.29 —
5.2% 19.19 —
12.5% 8.03 —

HT/FT double chance

70.5% 1.42 —
59.7% 1.68 —
29.2% 3.43 —
42.6% 2.35 —
46.8% 2.14 —
22.9% 4.37 —
43.6% 2.29 —
43.1% 2.32 —
41.7% 2.4 —

Total goals

91.8% 1.09 —
70.9% 1.41 —
45.1% 2.22 —
23.9% 4.18 —
29.1% 3.44 —
54.9% 1.82 —
76.0% 1.31 —

1st-half goals

66.1% 1.51 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Home team goals

79.5% 1.26 —
46.8% 2.14 —

Away team goals

59.6% 1.68 —
22.8% 4.39 —

Both to score

47.3% 2.12 —

Corners

72.8% 1.37 —
62.8% 1.59 —
52.4% 1.91 —
42.0% 2.38 —
32.3% 3.1 —
37.2% 2.69 —
47.5% 2.1 —
58.0% 1.73 —
67.7% 1.48 —

Home corners

78.3% 1.28 —
65.3% 1.53 —
51.3% 1.95 —

Away corners

55.5% 1.8 —
38.8% 2.58 —
24.9% 4.01 —

Cards

72.2% 1.38 —
54.4% 1.84 —
37.4% 2.68 —
23.9% 4.18 —
45.6% 2.19 —
62.6% 1.6 —
76.1% 1.31 —

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