Newcastle – Sunderland
Home
53%
1.87 fair
Draw
24%
4.11 fair
Away
22%
4.48 fair
Expected Goals2.68
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.550%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
54.4%
→
53.4%
-1.1 pp
Draw
23.8%
→
24.3%
+0.5 pp
Away
21.8%
→
22.3%
+0.6 pp
Over 2.5
51.9%
→
50.5%
-1.4 pp
Both teams to score
52.2%
→
51.2%
-1.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.75 →
2.68
-0.07
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — | |||
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 8.01 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 87.5% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — |
Both halves
| 16.8% | 5.96 | — |
HT/FT
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.31 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.6 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.83 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.19 | — | |||
| 8.7% | 11.45 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.74 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — |
Total goals
| 92.7% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — |
Home team goals
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — |
Away team goals
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — |
Both to score
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — |
Corners
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — |
Home corners
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — |
Away corners
| 53.3% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — |
Cards
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds