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Fixtures / SerieA / 2027-01-03

Udinese – Atalanta

Home 23% 4.35 fair
Draw 23% 4.3 fair
Away 54% 1.86 fair
Expected Goals2.82
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.553%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 23.0% → 23.0% +0.0 pp
Draw 23.3% → 23.3% -0.1 pp
Away 53.7% → 53.7% +0.0 pp
Over 2.5 54.3% → 53.4% -0.9 pp
Both teams to score 54.9% → 54.3% -0.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.85 → 2.82 -0.03
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.82
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.5 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.46 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

23.0% 4.35 —
23.3% 4.3 —
53.7% 1.86 —
46.3% 2.16 —
77.0% 1.3 —
76.7% 1.3 —

Half-time result

21.7% 4.6 —
37.9% 2.64 —
40.4% 2.48 —

Half-time double chance

59.6% 1.68 —
78.3% 1.28 —
62.1% 1.61 —

Both halves

4.4% 22.94 —

HT/FT

13.7% 7.29 —
5.1% 19.42 —
8.0% 12.5 —
13.4% 7.49 —
16.6% 6.04 —
4.8% 21.01 —
34.3% 2.91 —

HT/FT double chance

40.2% 2.49 —
41.1% 2.43 —
37.9% 2.64 —
24.9% 4.01 —
52.2% 1.92 —
47.1% 2.12 —
27.4% 3.65 —
60.2% 1.66 —
69.0% 1.45 —

Total goals

94.3% 1.06 —
77.1% 1.3 —
53.4% 1.87 —
31.2% 3.21 —
22.9% 4.37 —
46.6% 2.15 —
68.8% 1.45 —

1st-half goals

74.4% 1.34 —
39.2% 2.55 —

Home team goals

65.5% 1.53 —
28.9% 3.46 —

Away team goals

83.1% 1.2 —
52.2% 1.92 —

Both to score

54.3% 1.84 —

Corners

68.0% 1.47 —
57.8% 1.73 —
46.9% 2.13 —
36.4% 2.75 —
27.3% 3.66 —
42.2% 2.37 —
53.1% 1.88 —
63.6% 1.57 —
72.7% 1.38 —

Home corners

60.2% 1.66 —
44.0% 2.27 —
29.8% 3.36 —

Away corners

68.5% 1.46 —
53.6% 1.87 —
39.2% 2.55 —

Cards

63.8% 1.57 —
44.5% 2.25 —
27.7% 3.61 —
16.0% 6.25 —
55.5% 1.8 —
72.3% 1.38 —
84.0% 1.19 —

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