Fixtures / SerieA / 2027-01-03
Parma – Napoli
Home
18%
5.61 fair
Draw
26%
3.85 fair
Away
56%
1.78 fair
Expected Goals2.21
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score40%
Over 2.538%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
17.6%
→
17.8%
+0.2 pp
Draw
26.1%
→
26.0%
-0.1 pp
Away
56.3%
→
56.2%
-0.1 pp
Over 2.5
37.5%
→
38.1%
+0.6 pp
Both teams to score
39.3%
→
39.7%
+0.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.2 →
2.21
+0.01
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 17.8% | 5.61 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 82.2% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 10.6% | 9.44 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 89.4% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — |
HT/FT
| 6.3% | 15.87 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.93 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.41 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 21.01 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.56 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — |
Total goals
| 89.3% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 17.9% | 5.57 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — |
1st-half goals
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.09 | — |
Home team goals
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.34 | — |
Away team goals
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — |
Both to score
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — |
Corners
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.93 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — |
Home corners
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.75 | — |
Away corners
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — |
Cards
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.73 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 82.6% | 1.21 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds