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Fixtures / SerieA / 2027-01-03

Inter – Sassuolo

Home 80% 1.24 fair
Draw 12% 8.33 fair
Away 8% 13.05 fair
Expected Goals4.05
Most Likely Score3-0
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.577%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 79.2% → 80.3% +1.1 pp
Draw 12.2% → 12.0% -0.2 pp
Away 8.6% → 7.7% -0.9 pp
Over 2.5 76.5% → 76.8% +0.2 pp
Both teams to score 58.5% → 57.6% -0.8 pp
Expected Goals 4.04 → 4.05 +0.01
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 3-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 4.05
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.55 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.98 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

80.3% 1.24 —
12.0% 8.33 —
7.7% 13.05 —
92.3% 1.08 —
19.7% 5.08 —
88.0% 1.14 —

Half-time result

59.2% 1.69 —
28.3% 3.54 —
12.5% 7.98 —

Half-time double chance

87.5% 1.14 —
40.8% 2.45 —
71.7% 1.39 —

Both halves

41.4% 2.42 —

HT/FT

56.2% 1.78 —
19.6% 5.1 —
6.3% 15.97 —
4.5% 21.98 —
3.3% 30.3 —
4.7% 21.32 —

HT/FT double chance

84.5% 1.18 —
78.8% 1.27 —
11.7% 8.55 —
66.5% 1.5 —
66.0% 1.52 —
11.0% 9.09 —
33.7% 2.97 —
31.2% 3.2 —
16.7% 6.0 —

Total goals

91.2% 1.1 —
76.8% 1.3 —
57.5% 1.74 —
8.8% 11.4 —
23.2% 4.3 —
42.5% 2.35 —

1st-half goals

83.5% 1.2 —
54.9% 1.82 —

Home team goals

95.7% 1.05 —
81.8% 1.22 —

Away team goals

60.2% 1.66 —
23.3% 4.29 —

Both to score

57.6% 1.74 —

Corners

67.9% 1.47 —
57.1% 1.75 —
46.4% 2.16 —
36.5% 2.74 —
28.1% 3.55 —
42.9% 2.33 —
53.6% 1.86 —
63.4% 1.58 —
71.9% 1.39 —

Home corners

81.9% 1.22 —
71.0% 1.41 —
58.1% 1.72 —

Away corners

35.3% 2.83 —
20.9% 4.79 —
11.2% 8.9 —

Cards

71.6% 1.4 —
53.6% 1.86 —
36.4% 2.75 —
23.4% 4.28 —
46.4% 2.16 —
63.6% 1.57 —
76.6% 1.31 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds