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Fixtures / SerieA / 2027-01-03

Como – Lecce

Home 69% 1.45 fair
Draw 21% 4.8 fair
Away 10% 9.61 fair
Expected Goals2.46
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score37%
Over 2.544%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 69.6% → 68.8% -0.8 pp
Draw 20.2% → 20.8% +0.6 pp
Away 10.2% → 10.4% +0.2 pp
Over 2.5 44.7% → 44.2% -0.5 pp
Both teams to score 36.7% → 37.2% +0.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.47 → 2.46 -0.01
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.46
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.94 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.58 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

68.8% 1.45 —
20.8% 4.8 —
10.4% 9.61 —
89.6% 1.12 —
31.2% 3.2 —
79.2% 1.26 —

Half-time result

46.9% 2.13 —
39.6% 2.52 —
13.5% 7.41 —

Half-time double chance

86.5% 1.16 —
53.1% 1.88 —
60.4% 1.66 —

Both halves

25.6% 3.91 —

HT/FT

44.0% 2.27 —
21.9% 4.58 —
14.3% 7.01 —
3.5% 28.57 —
4.0% 25.32 —
6.6% 15.11 —

HT/FT double chance

82.7% 1.21 —
69.7% 1.44 —
20.7% 4.84 —
53.5% 1.87 —
53.8% 1.86 —
13.5% 7.43 —
43.0% 2.33 —
34.9% 2.87 —
28.3% 3.53 —

Total goals

91.4% 1.09 —
70.5% 1.42 —
44.2% 2.26 —
23.4% 4.28 —
29.5% 3.39 —
55.8% 1.79 —
76.6% 1.3 —

1st-half goals

69.4% 1.44 —
33.6% 2.97 —

Home team goals

84.7% 1.18 —
56.1% 1.78 —

Away team goals

44.0% 2.27 —
11.2% 8.9 —

Both to score

37.2% 2.68 —

Corners

62.6% 1.6 —
51.2% 1.95 —
40.3% 2.48 —
30.2% 3.31 —
22.5% 4.45 —
48.8% 2.05 —
59.7% 1.67 —
69.8% 1.43 —
77.5% 1.29 —

Home corners

73.9% 1.35 —
60.1% 1.67 —
46.0% 2.17 —

Away corners

42.6% 2.34 —
26.8% 3.73 —
15.5% 6.45 —

Cards

79.1% 1.26 —
63.4% 1.58 —
46.8% 2.14 —
32.1% 3.12 —
36.5% 2.74 —
53.2% 1.88 —
67.9% 1.47 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds