Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2027-01-03
Lens – Paris SG
Home
28%
3.53 fair
Draw
24%
4.23 fair
Away
48%
2.08 fair
Expected Goals2.91
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
28.4%
→
28.3%
-0.1 pp
Draw
24.3%
→
23.6%
-0.7 pp
Away
47.3%
→
48.1%
+0.8 pp
Over 2.5
55.9%
→
56.0%
+0.0 pp
Both teams to score
58.4%
→
57.7%
-0.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.93 →
2.91
-0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.23 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — |
Both halves
| 6.1% | 16.47 | — |
HT/FT
| 15.4% | 6.49 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.83 | — | |||
| 10.8% | 9.29 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.35 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.54 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.42 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — |
Total goals
| 94.7% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — |
Home team goals
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.87 | — |
Away team goals
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — |
Both to score
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — |
Corners
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — |
Home corners
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — |
Away corners
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — |
Cards
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.87 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 83.0% | 1.21 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds