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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2027-01-03

Lille – Strasbourg

Home 54% 1.86 fair
Draw 23% 4.29 fair
Away 23% 4.36 fair
Expected Goals2.76
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 52.2% → 53.8% +1.6 pp
Draw 24.0% → 23.3% -0.7 pp
Away 23.8% → 22.9% -0.9 pp
Over 2.5 51.3% → 52.3% +1.1 pp
Both teams to score 52.2% → 52.8% +0.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.71 → 2.76 +0.05
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.76
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.8 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.43 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

53.8% 1.86 —
23.3% 4.29 —
22.9% 4.36 —
77.1% 1.3 —
46.2% 2.16 —
76.7% 1.3 —

Half-time result

35.4% 2.83 —
45.4% 2.21 —
19.2% 5.19 —

Half-time double chance

80.8% 1.24 —
64.6% 1.55 —
54.6% 1.83 —

Both halves

16.4% 6.11 —

HT/FT

29.4% 3.41 —
4.5% 22.32 —
21.3% 4.7 —
14.3% 6.98 —
9.7% 10.27 —
3.1% 31.85 —
4.5% 22.37 —
11.6% 8.59 —

HT/FT double chance

69.5% 1.44 —
61.9% 1.61 —
30.1% 3.32 —
41.4% 2.41 —
45.7% 2.19 —
22.1% 4.51 —
43.2% 2.31 —
45.8% 2.18 —
40.2% 2.49 —

Total goals

93.9% 1.06 —
76.0% 1.32 —
52.3% 1.91 —
29.8% 3.35 —
24.0% 4.16 —
47.6% 2.1 —
70.2% 1.43 —

1st-half goals

63.9% 1.56 —
27.1% 3.7 —

Home team goals

82.0% 1.22 —
51.4% 1.94 —

Away team goals

64.7% 1.55 —
27.7% 3.61 —

Both to score

52.8% 1.9 —

Corners

61.9% 1.61 —
50.2% 1.99 —
38.9% 2.57 —
28.8% 3.47 —
20.9% 4.77 —
49.8% 2.01 —
61.1% 1.64 —
71.2% 1.4 —
79.0% 1.27 —

Home corners

73.9% 1.35 —
59.5% 1.68 —
45.0% 2.22 —

Away corners

42.4% 2.36 —
25.8% 3.88 —
14.5% 6.92 —

Cards

77.1% 1.3 —
60.8% 1.64 —
44.1% 2.27 —
29.6% 3.38 —
39.2% 2.55 —
55.9% 1.79 —
70.4% 1.42 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds