Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2027-01-03
Le Mans – Lyon
Home
23%
4.35 fair
Draw
22%
4.47 fair
Away
55%
1.83 fair
Expected Goals3.03
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.558%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
20.4%
→
23.0%
+2.6 pp
Draw
21.0%
→
22.4%
+1.3 pp
Away
58.5%
→
54.7%
-3.9 pp
Over 2.5
61.9%
→
58.2%
-3.6 pp
Both teams to score
59.1%
→
57.8%
-1.3 pp
Expected Goals
3.19 →
3.03
-0.16
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.8% | 4.2 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.77 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — |
Both halves
| 4.3% | 23.26 | — |
HT/FT
| 13.9% | 7.19 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.21 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.51 | — | |||
| 8.0% | 12.58 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.87 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.04 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.22 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — |
Total goals
| 95.2% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.07 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — |
Home team goals
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — |
Away team goals
| 85.0% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — |
Both to score
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
Corners
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — |
Home corners
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — |
Away corners
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — |
Cards
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds