Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2027-01-03
Valladolid – Burgos
Home
36%
2.75 fair
Draw
30%
3.36 fair
Away
34%
2.95 fair
Expected Goals2.14
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score43%
Over 2.536%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
35.9%
→
36.4%
+0.4 pp
Draw
29.5%
→
29.7%
+0.2 pp
Away
34.5%
→
33.9%
-0.7 pp
Over 2.5
35.8%
→
36.1%
+0.3 pp
Both teams to score
42.8%
→
43.0%
+0.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.12 →
2.14
+0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — |
Half-time result
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.41 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — |
Both halves
| 7.5% | 13.35 | — |
HT/FT
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 6.5% | 15.41 | — | |||
| 8.9% | 11.17 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.01 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.58 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.58 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.34 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — |
Total goals
| 88.3% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 16.5% | 6.08 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — |
Home team goals
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — |
Both to score
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — |
Corners
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.66 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — |
Home corners
| 77.8% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.01 | — |
Away corners
| 36.7% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.8 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.83 | — |
Cards
| 88.8% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds